Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Divisional Series Predictions

In high school, I wrote papers with post-season baseball predictions under the pseudonym the "October Oracle". While I still believe that to be a clever nickname, it was not met with the enthusiasm that I expected. So I have decided to abandon the nickname. While there are other alliterative nicknames I considered (Playoff Prophet, Post-Season Prognosticator, and Predictor of the Pastime) nothing seemed quite right. So until I come up with an exceedingly witty moniker, I'll just focus on doing my best to predicting the MLB playoffs.

Phillies v. Rockies
I am a believer in the Fightin' Phils. I know Cole Hamels has been sub-par this season, especially considering his dominating run to World Series MVP last year, but a pitcher that shows that much composure under pressure will perform in the playoffs year in and year out. Hamels does not have to duplicate last year's run with the addition of Cliff Lee, but he will have to provide quality that extend deep into the game. I think he will do that.
This is the worst possible match-up for the Rockies. The Rockies play in a hitter ballpark against a team that has the strongest lineup in the National League. The Rockies would undoubtedly rather have any other team.
Prediction: Phillies in 3

Cardinals v. Dodgers
The Cardinals have two of the best starters in the NL and the best player in baseball in Albert Pujols. That sounds like enough to me. Barring a string of outstanding starts by Billingsley and Kershaw, the Cardinals pitching staff will prove too strong.
Prediction: Cardinals in 5

Yankees v. Twins
The Yankees have been the league's best team all year and will not stumble early. A-Rod can't be bad every postseason, right? Plus the Twins have already expended so much energy just to make it into the playoffs, I don't see how they can keep this momentum up. Maybe if Justin Morneau was playing they'd have a shot.
Prediction: Yankees in 3

Red Sox v. Angels
The most intriguing match-up in the first round to me. The Red Sox have the pitching to win this series, but I question their lineup. While it is still dumb to doubt Big Papi in the playoffs, I will be dumb and doubt him. The Angels are managed by the best in the game and have a line-up made for postseason ball (at one point in the season, they fielded a lineup composed of all .300 hitters!) . I think that the Angels are better than they are getting credit for.
Prediction: Angels in 4

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